According to cme's "FedWatch": The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining the current interest rate in December is 26%, with a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut probability of 74%. The probability of maintaining the current interest rate until January next year is 19.9%, with a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut probability of 62.7%, and a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut probability of 17.4%.
ADP数据公布前：美联储12月降息25个基点的概率为74%
Before the release of ADP data: There is a 74% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December.
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