Regarding the trend of the yuan exchange rates, Everbright believes that the 10-year government bond yield has shown a correlation with the yuan exchange rates. After the 10-year government bond yield fell below 2.0%, the pressure for the yuan to depreciate increased. The core of the current decisions on interest rates and exchange rates is domestic policy, and the economic work conference period is a critical time for policy negotiations. Reasonable market expectations suggest that the probability of policies accelerating current market trends is low, but if the desire to stabilize the exchange rate strengthens, the monetary authorities may rearrange domestic liquidity, thereby weakening the upward support in the bond market. (Source:券中社)
光大证券：10年期国债收益率与人民币汇率出现联动
Everbright: The 10-year government bond yield has shown a correlation with the yuan exchange rates.
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