share_log

华泰证券:本轮“跨年行情”或具备一定基础,但持续性面临考验

HTSC: This round of "year-end market" may have a certain foundation, but its sustainability faces challenges.

Breakings ·  Dec 2 07:56

HTSC's research reports suggest that from the perspectives of fundamentals, liquidity, and policy expectations, this round of "year-end market" may have a certain foundation: 1) In terms of fundamentals, the PMI has risen for three consecutive months and is stronger than seasonal trends, and the midstream economic index tracked by HTSC has also improved on a month-on-month basis; 2) In terms of liquidity, the usd and US Treasury rates have declined; insurance premium income on the liability side has increased year-on-year since the beginning of the year, insurance funds and etf may provide incremental capital; 3) Policy expectations have warmed up before the Central Economic Work Conference. However, sustainability faces challenges: 1) The strength and effectiveness of policies have yet to be verified, and the transmission of broad fiscal expansion to the credit cycle will still take time; 2) Before Trump officially takes office, the negative impact of potential tariff policies may be repeatedly traded; 3) The sustainability of thematic profit-making effects and the recovery of trading capital need further observation.

The translation is provided by third-party software.


The above content is for informational or educational purposes only and does not constitute any investment advice related to Futu. Although we strive to ensure the truthfulness, accuracy, and originality of all such content, we cannot guarantee it.
    Write a comment