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申万宏源:美联储11月降息仍然是大概率事件

swhy: It is still a high probability event for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in November.

Breakings ·  Oct 13 07:52

swhy released research reports stating that it is still a high probability event for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in November. The September CPI data in the usa did not have a significant impact on the interest rate expectations, but the weekly jobless claims data higher than market expectations (hurricane) may be a factor. Due to the Federal Reserve's current focus on employment much higher than inflation, a 25 basis point interest rate cut in November is still the baseline assumption, but attention needs to be paid to the possibility of interest rate cuts next year not meeting expectations (currently trading at 100 basis points).

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