According to CME's "Fed Watch": The probability of the Fed cutting 25 basis points in November is 49.0%, and the probability of cutting 50 basis points is 51.0%. The probability of cumulative 50 basis points cut by December is 25.6%, and the probability of cumulative 75 basis points cut is 50.0%; the probability of cumulative 100 basis points cut is 24.4%. Last week, the potential successor to the Fed Chairman, current Fed Board member Waller, said that if the job market deteriorates, there may be a consideration to cut rates by 50 basis points again.
美联储11月降息50BP和25BP的概率“打成平手”
The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 50 basis points and 25 basis points in November is a tie.
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