According to CME's "FedWatch", the probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut by the Fed in September is 48%, and a 50-basis-point cut is 52%. The cumulative probability of a 50-basis-point rate cut by November is 30.2%, 75-basis-point cut is 50.5%, and 100-basis-point cut is 19.3%.
美联储本周降息25bp与50bp的概率旗鼓相当
The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points or 50 basis points this week is roughly equal.
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