According to cme's "Fed watch", the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Fed in September is 74%, while the probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 26%. The probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut by the Fed until November is 63.8%, while the probability of a cumulative 75 basis point rate cut is 32.6%, and the probability of a cumulative 100 basis point rate cut is 3.6%.
美联储9月降息25个基点的概率升至74%
The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September has increased to 74%.
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