According to CME's "FedWatch", the probability of the Fed maintaining the interest rate in August is 95.3%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 4.7%. The probability of the Fed maintaining the interest rate in September is 28.6%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 68.1%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 3.3%.
CPI公布前 美联储8月维持利率不变的概率为95.3%
Before the CPI announcement, the probability of the Fed maintaining the interest rate in August is 95.3%.
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