Nick Timiraos, the 'Fed's megaphone,' said that the US unemployment rate rose from 3.96% in May to 4.05% in June. This data has increased by 0.22% since March (3.83%). According to the 'Sam Rules,' the three-month average is up 0.42% from the low point of 12 months, which is increasingly close to the 0.5% threshold. The connotation of 'Sam Rules' is that when the three-month average unemployment rate is 0.5 percentage points higher than the low point of 12 months, the economy enters a recession.
美联储传声筒：失业率显示美国经济越来越接近衰退
Fed's Loudspeaker: Unemployment rate shows US economy becoming increasingly close to recession.
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