According to CME's “Federal Reserve Watch”, the probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged in the 5.25% to 5.50% range in May is 95.8%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 4.2%. The probability of keeping interest rates unchanged by June is 36.4%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 61%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 2.6%.
美国PCE数据公布后，美联储5月按兵不动的概率保持在95.8%不变
After the US PCE data was released, the probability that the Fed would stay on hold in May remained unchanged at 95.8%
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